Hyperia City Down 31.6 Percent, Worse Than Illumineer's Quest at This Age
Published November 9, 2026
Hyperia City opened with a ribbon-cutting and has been condemned ever since. The brochure showed a skyline; the inspection report found cracks in the foundation before the paint dried. Twenty-four days in, the set's 242 priced cards total $5,522.63; the 27 we track fell 3.2 percent this week, three up, twenty-two down, typical move down 5.2 percent. That is worse than the one earlier set we can compare at this age, Illumineer's Quest, down 29.5 percent at day 24 to this set's 31.6. Price window: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-09, ungraded market prices.
“Tracked” cards are those with a market price on both ends of the week and worth at least $5 at the start; cheaper cards are left out because a few cents of movement reads as a large, meaningless percentage.
The Most Expensive Cards Are the Least Trusted
Mickey Mouse - Best in Town leads the chase list at $1,860.82, essentially flat this week at negative 0.1 percent; its Winterspell and Fabled comparables posted a median 58.5 percent over six months, against the model's own call of negative 11.8. Cinderella - Unintentional Icon, number two at $1,121.79, fell 3.5 percent, rough going for a rags-to-riches story. The remaining four, Ariel through Aurora, span $370.20 down to $197.82, mostly lower this week, with six-month comparables running 22.2 to 133.8 percent while the model calls losses on every single one, true to its one-note nature.
Mickey Mouse - Best in Town (Iconic)
Moana - Curious Explorer (Iconic)
Mickey Mouse - Steamboat Pilot (Enchanted)
Minnie Mouse - Sweetheart Princess (Iconic)
Cinderella - Unintentional Icon (Iconic)
Pocahontas - Peacekeeper (Iconic)Minnie Mouse - Sweetheart Princess (Iconic)
Dumbo - Ninth Wonder of the Universe (Enchanted)
Ariel - Collector of Oddities (Enchanted)
Eeyore - In the Way (Enchanted)
Ariel - Adventurous Collector (Enchanted)
Winnie the Pooh - Hunny Wizard (Enchanted)
Belle - Exceptional Writer (Enchanted)
Elsa - Ice Artisan (Enchanted)
Belle - Accomplished Mystic (Enchanted)
Circle of Life (Enchanted)
Max Goof - Karaoke Star (Enchanted)
Ohana Means Family (Enchanted)
Max Goof - Chart Topper (Enchanted)Circle of Life (Enchanted)
Aurora - Delightful Musician (Enchanted)
Angel - Experiment 624 (Enchanted)
Aurora - Holding Court (Epic)Ariel - Adventurous Collector (Enchanted)Mickey Mouse, Best in Town: a regional title, and the region is shrinking.
This Week's Winners Already Have an Expiration Date
Toulouse - Rough and Tumble (Epic) led the set, up +5.8% to $5.45. The model's one-month call on it is -8.1 percent. Hector Rivera - Worldwide Sensation (Enchanted) fell furthest, -22.8% to $50.47. The model's one-month call on it is -6.6 percent.
Toulouse - Rough and Tumble (Epic)
Cinderella - Unintentional Icon
Mickey Mouse - Best in Town
Hector Rivera - Worldwide Sensation (Enchanted)
Shere Khan - Khan Industries CEO
Shere Khan - Ruthless Entrepreneur (Enchanted)
Pepita - Imelda's Right Hand (Enchanted)Worldwide Sensation: regional discount, terms and conditions apply.
Legendary Fell Hardest, Not the Priciest Tier
Rarity divides this set sharply: Iconic held a $1,491.30 median, barely wobbling at negative 1.8 percent, while Enchanted, the largest tracked tier at 18 cards, fell 6.4 percent on a $109.47 median. Legendary fell hardest of any tracked tier, negative 10.0 percent on a $1.02 median; Super Rare was the only gainer, up 3.9 percent on a 46 cent median. Rare, Uncommon and Common cover 174 of the set's 242 priced cards at medians of 20, 9 and 6 cents, too cheap for the model to bother calling a direction.
| Rarity | Priced | Median price | Tracked | Median move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iconic | 2 | $1,491.30 | 2 | -1.8% |
| Enchanted | 18 | $109.47 | 18 | -6.4% |
| Epic | 18 | $1.73 | 2 | -1.1% |
| Legendary | 12 | $1.02 | 3 | -10.0% |
| Super Rare | 18 | $0.46 | 2 | +3.9% |
| Rare | 48 | $0.20 | 0 | – |
| Uncommon | 54 | $0.09 | 0 | – |
| Common | 72 | $0.06 | 0 | – |
Iconic stays rich. Everyone else checks the clearance rack.
This Set's Best Day Was Its First
Since Hyperia City's release day, the price index has only gone one direction: it peaked at 0.0 percent, meaning the best day the set has had was the day it launched, and bottomed out at negative 32.8 percent. Today's negative 31.5 is only a shade above that trough, the kind of recovery that gets reported as a comeback and looks, on the chart, like a shrug. Still falling.
Day one: the good old days.
Against Its One True Peer, Hyperia City Loses
The only earlier Lorcana set we can measure at this exact age is Illumineer's Quest: The Great Hunny Rescue, and at day 24 it was down 29.5 percent against Hyperia City's negative 31.6, putting Hyperia City second of the two sets compared. Illumineer's Quest hasn't gotten better with time either: it now sits at negative 37.4 percent at age 40, further down from the 29.5 percent recorded at this same comparison point. If this is the neighborhood's best comparable, the neighborhood has a drainage problem.
| Set | Released | Priced from | At day 24 | Next month | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperia City | 2026-10-16 | day 0 | -31.6% | – | -31.6% (day 24) |
| Illumineer's Quest: The Great Hunny Rescue | 2026-10-02 | day 7 | -29.5% | – | -37.4% (day 40) |
Two sets walked in. One walked out ahead.
Most Cards Here Cost Less Than a Dollar
Stack the set's 242 priced cards by price and most of them barely register: 187 sit under a dollar and 29 more land between $1 and $5. The middle thins out fast, just 6 cards between $5 and $20 and 2 between $20 and $50, before the top rebuilds a little: 6 cards from $50 to $100 and 12 at $100 or more. Call it a city with many studio apartments and a handful of penthouses, nothing in between.
Under a dollar: technically still a trading card.
The Model Expects Nothing Good and Says So
The model's one-month calls are almost uniformly pessimistic: zero cards up, one flat, twenty-five down, with even its gentlest pick, Rapunzel - Outgoing Artist, implying 0.0 percent. That lines up with the set's own standing, down 31.6 percent against the one comparable earlier set's 29.5 at this age. The model's record here, checked over 55,359 calls, shows a typical miss of 17.9 percent, worse than the 15.8 percent it would log by guessing nothing changes, with the right direction called only 57.4 percent of the time. Still falling.
| Card | Now | 1M forecast | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapunzel - Outgoing Artist (Enchanted) | $175.57 | $175.59 | +0.0% |
| Belle - Exceptional Writer (Enchanted) | $231.13 | $226.49 | -2.0% |
| Marie - Caught in the Act (Enchanted) | $152.28 | $148.69 | -2.4% |
| Miguel Rivera - Street Musician (Enchanted) | $100.04 | $94.98 | -5.1% |
| Cinderella - Unintentional Icon (Iconic) | $1,121.79 | $1,062.50 | -5.3% |
| Checked | Typical miss | Flat baseline | 80% band | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55,359 | 17.9% | 15.8% | 83% | 57% |
Forecasts are model estimates, not financial advice. Every card in Hyperia City with its price, or browse the set in the catalog; the About page explains how the forecasts are made.
Hyperia City opened with fireworks and is currently recovering in the parking lot; the model's one-month forecast, like the rest of us, just watches it happen. Still falling.