Usurp the Shadow Throne Is Down 4.6 Percent, Typical for Day 47
Published November 11, 2026
Usurp the Shadow Throne is built around a coup, and coups promise somebody ends up richer than they started. Forty seven days after the crown changed hands, the treasury report reads like most regime changes: quieter than the poster. We priced 286 cards for a combined 3,074.82 dollars, with the tracked ones down 1.7 percent this week. The set's index sits 4.6 percent below launch, almost exactly the 4.7 percent typical drop for the last ten releases at this age. Price window: 2026-11-04 to 2026-11-11, ungraded market prices.
“Tracked” cards are those with a market price on both ends of the week and worth at least $5 at the start; cheaper cards are left out because a few cents of movement reads as a large, meaningless percentage.
The Six Most Expensive Cards Did Nothing
Viserai, the Forsaken // Viserai, Usurper (Marvel) leads the set at 471.84 dollars and Arknight Shard (Blue) follows at 452.02, both flat this week, as were Usurp the Shadow Throne (Marvel) at 241.78 and Become the Shadow Lord (Marvel) at 218.86. Blasmophet, the Insatiable Hunger (Marvel) holds the middle at 228.85, and Soul of Existence is the one card that moved, down 1.9 percent to 158.77. Cards at the same rank or rarity in earlier sets posted a median of negative 4.7 percent after a month and negative 14 after six. No coup.
Viserai, the Forsaken // Viserai, Usurper (Marvel)
Baalghor, Omen of the End (Marvel)
Pleiades, Superstar (Marvel)
Authority of Ataya
Arknight Shard (Blue)
Voltaris (Blue)Authority of AtayaPleiades, Superstar (Marvel)
Usurp the Shadow Throne (Marvel)
Gate to i'Arathael (Marvel)Pleiades, Superstar (Marvel)Authority of Ataya
Blasmophet, the Insatiable Hunger (Marvel)
Zyggy Starlight (Marvel)Pleiades, Superstar (Marvel)
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat (Marvel)
Become the Shadow Lord (Marvel)
Runechant of Greed (Yellow)(Marvel)Pleiades, Superstar (Marvel)Kayo, Underhanded Cheat (Marvel)
Soul of Existence
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest (Marvel)Authority of AtayaPleiades, Superstar (Marvel)Viserai, the Forsaken // Viserai, Usurper: flat for a week and feeling pretty secure about it.
Fresh From the Forge Was Not Fresh
Exorcism rose 9.8 percent, from 14.79 to 16.24 dollars: a card meant to cast something out, rising instead. The model calls it down 0.4 percent in a month, up 8.1 over six. Deadly Spinneret (Extended Art) and Channel Stormgarden (Extended Art) climbed 8.9 and 8.8 percent, with the model calling further gains of 6.7 and 3.9 percent by six months. Fresh from the Forge fell 62.3 percent to 3.05 dollars, with Restless Templar and Blessing of Suraya off 22.9 and 21.7; the model expects more losses on all three next month. Nothing here was blessed.
Exorcism
Deadly Spinneret (Extended Art)
Channel Stormgarden (Extended Art)
Ice Aged Oak
Fresh from the Forge
Restless Templar
Blessing of Suraya
Restless Corporal (Marvel)Exorcism, asked what it drove out this week: just your money, actually.
Majestic Took the Worst Beating by Far
Fabled cards carry a median price of 305.39 dollars this week, down 0.9 percent, with Legendary at 55.26, off 1.3, and Marvel at 35.75, off 1.0. Majestic is the exception, its median 3.92 dollars down 8.8 percent, by far the week's roughest rarity. Rare sits at 0.24 dollars, down 1.2 percent on a single tracked card, while Basic and Common, at 0.26 and 0.16 dollars, have nothing worth tracking at all: fractions of a cent, doing fractions of a cent things.
| Rarity | Priced | Median price | Tracked | Median move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabled | 2 | $305.39 | 2 | -0.9% |
| Legendary | 5 | $55.26 | 5 | -1.3% |
| Marvel | 16 | $35.75 | 14 | -1.0% |
| Majestic | 48 | $3.92 | 21 | -8.8% |
| Basic | 17 | $0.26 | 0 | – |
| Rare | 67 | $0.24 | 1 | -1.2% |
| Common | 131 | $0.16 | 0 | – |
Majestic rarity, this week's only participant in its own market.
The Index Rallied, Then Gave It Back
Since prices firmed up on September 28, the set's index swung from a peak of positive 12.2 percent to a trough of negative 5.2, and now sits at negative 4.6. Forty seven days in, that is a rally, a dip, and a landing spot that splits the difference. Nothing about that arc is especially dramatic.
The index since release day: up, down, and now almost exactly in between.
This Set Is Exactly as Typical as It Gets
At day 47, Usurp the Shadow Throne's index of negative 4.6 percent lands on the negative 4.7 percent median of the last ten releases at the same age, ranking 6th of 11 strongest first, about as typical as this group gets. The range runs from Silver Age Chapter 1's positive 28.4 percent down to GEM Pack 6's negative 14.7. Sets that had cleared this age went on, over the next month, from Mastery Pack Warrior's negative 35.6 percent to Armory Deck Origins: Hala's positive 7.3. Typical covers a lot of ground.
| Set | Released | Priced from | At day 47 | Next month | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usurp the Shadow Throne | 2026-09-25 | day 3 | -4.6% | – | -4.6% (day 47) |
| GEM Pack 6 | 2026-09-25 | day 3 | -14.7% | – | -14.7% (day 47) |
| Silver Age: Usurp the Shadow Throne | 2026-09-18 | day 3 | +2.5% | – | +2.5% (day 54) |
| Mastery Pack Warrior | 2026-08-07 | day 3 | -19.4% | -35.6% | -50.1% (day 96) |
| Omens of the Third Age | 2026-06-05 | day 3 | -9.2% | -3.3% | -22.8% (day 159) |
| Silver Age Chapter 3 | 2026-06-05 | day 3 | -3.6% | -0.4% | -2.9% (day 159) |
| GEM Pack 5 | 2026-06-05 | day 3 | -9.1% | -27.3% | -58.6% (day 159) |
| Armory Deck Origins: Hala | 2026-04-17 | day 3 | -2.9% | +7.3% | +13.8% (day 208) |
| Compendium of Rathe | 2026-02-13 | day 3 | -5.8% | -7.0% | -18.2% (day 248) |
Eleven sets, each measured from its own release day, scattered everywhere by day 47.
Most of This Set Costs Less Than a Dollar
Of the 286 priced cards, 217 sit under a dollar, with another 27 between 1 and 5 dollars: that is 244 cards, or the vast majority of the set, worth less than a single toll booth transaction. Sixteen cards land between 5 and 20 dollars and ten more between 20 and 50. Above that, the money concentrates fast: nine cards between 50 and 100 dollars, and just seven over 100, which is the entire guest list for the expensive party.
217 of 286 priced cards: worth precisely as much as a gumball.
The Model Calls Thirty Five Cards Down
Of the model's 40 one month calls on this set, 35 call for a decline, five for flat, and zero for a rise: no coup, as far as the forecaster is concerned. Its median call is negative 3.0 percent, slightly gloomier than the negative 2.3 percent the eight comparable earlier sets averaged over their next month, which ranged from negative 35.6 to positive 7.3. Six months out, the model holds at negative 2.6 while the three sets old enough to check came in at positive 3.8: a gap worth remembering. Nobody's betting rosy.
| Card | Now | 1M forecast | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Channel Stormgarden (Extended Art) | $59.23 | $59.49 | +0.4% |
| Deadly Spinneret (Extended Art) | $37.32 | $37.30 | -0.1% |
| Arknight Shard (Blue) | $452.02 | $450.36 | -0.4% |
| Exorcism | $16.24 | $16.18 | -0.4% |
| Viserai, the Forsaken // Viserai, Usurper (Marvel) | $471.84 | $468.95 | -0.6% |
| Window | Model, median call | Earlier sets from day 47, median |
|---|---|---|
| One month | -3.0% (40 cards) | -2.3% (8 sets, -35.6% to +7.3%) |
| Six months | -2.6% (40 cards) | +3.8% (3 sets, -14.8% to +24.2%) |
Forecasts are model estimates, not financial advice. Every card in Usurp the Shadow Throne with its price, or browse the set in the catalog; the About page explains how the forecasts are made.
Usurp the Shadow Throne promised a coup and delivered a quarterly report. No coup.