Pokémon Prices Rise 0.3 Percent While the Broader Market Falls
Published November 10, 2026
Picture the Pokémon secondary market as a block-long estate sale: a folding table of dollar-bin commons nobody wants, and one guy at the far end quietly walking off with a card worth more than his car. Same tables every week, wildly different luck. This week's sale covered 28,225 priced cards worth 726,410.98 dollars, with 11,383 actually moving, 2,999 up and 2,414 down, for a net drift of 0.3 percent. Every other game on the floor averaged a drop of 0.4 percent over the same stretch. Price window: 2026-11-03 to 2026-11-10, ungraded market prices.
“Tracked” cards are those with a market price on both ends of the week and worth at least $5 at the start; cheaper cards are left out because a few cents of movement reads as a large, meaningless percentage.
Pokémon Posted a Quiet Gain Nobody Can Explain
Of the 28,225 Pokémon cards we price, 11,383 moved enough this week to count: 2,999 up, 2,414 down. The median move across all of them sat at exactly 0.0 percent, which means the typical Pokémon card spent the week doing absolutely nothing. Winners averaged a 6.0 percent gain and losers averaged a 4.3 percent loss, netting the whole game a 0.3 percent gain for the week. Every other game we track averaged a 0.4 percent drop over the same week, and we would love to explain why, but the model just shrugs.
One of these lines is Pokémon. The other is everybody else's bad week.
Every Set That Moved This Week Moved Down
Eight Pokémon sets moved enough to rank this week, and every one of them landed in the red, led by ME: 30th Celebration Classic Collection, down 21.7 percent on a perfect 0 for 27. ME: 30th Celebration, the newest set in the game, is not far behind at negative 17.7 percent across 17 cards, a strange welcome gift. SV03: Obsidian Flames, ME: Ascended Heroes, ME04: Chaos Rising, Celebrations: Classic Collection, ME05: Pitch Black and SWSH: Crown Zenith rounded out the table, sliding between 7.7 percent and 4.4 percent. Not one of the eight finished green.
| Set | Tracked | Up | Down | Median move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME: 30th Celebration Classic Collection | 27 | 0 | 27 | -21.7% |
| ME: 30th Celebration | 17 | 1 | 15 | -17.7% |
| SV03: Obsidian Flames | 15 | 0 | 15 | -7.7% |
| ME: Ascended Heroes | 40 | 4 | 34 | -6.2% |
| ME04: Chaos Rising | 8 | 2 | 6 | -5.6% |
| Celebrations: Classic Collection | 13 | 1 | 12 | -5.2% |
| ME05: Pitch Black | 13 | 2 | 10 | -4.7% |
| SWSH: Crown Zenith | 12 | 3 | 9 | -4.4% |
All eight lines point the same way: down.
Ditto Could Not Copy a Stable Price
Town Volunteers - 2004 (Chris Fulop) was the week's top riser, up 270.2 percent to 53.24 dollars on one copy sold, with Kingdra ex (Delta Species) close behind at 98.8 percent. On the other end, Ditto - 106 (30th Celebration) fell 53.9 percent on 210 copies sold, and Pikachu ex - 109 (30th Celebration) and Pikachu ex - 107 (30th Celebration) dropped 53.3 and 47.8 percent on 435 and 381 copies. A Pokémon whose entire gimmick is copying things could not copy a stable price, and hundreds of buyers did not change that. Volume optional.
Town Volunteers - 2004 (Chris Fulop)
Kingdra ex (Delta Species)
Gallade E4 - 20/111 (DPPt Rising Rivals)
Tepig - 2011 (David Cohen)
Ditto - 106 (30th Celebration)
Pikachu ex - 109 (30th Celebration)
Dark Tyranitar - 20/109 (EX Team Rocket Returns)
Pikachu ex - 107 (30th Celebration)Ditto, in its own words: I can literally become anything except expensive.
Slowking Was the Only Thing Moving Forward
Rarity told the same story as sets this week: the Classic Collection rarity bucket moved on 47 of 69 tracked cards for a median of negative 3.7 percent, and Mega Hyper Rare moved on 7 of 8 for negative 4.0 percent. The one group moving the other way was the Slowking card family, up a median of 2.6 percent across 11 of 15 tracked cards, with one printing of Slowking · Reverse Holofoil up 121.8 percent. That is a strange week for a Pokémon whose entire reputation is being too slow to matter.
▲ Slowking (card family): 11 of 15 tracked cards up, median +2.6%; e.g. Slowking · Reverse Holofoil (+121.8%) and Slowking · 1st Edition Holofoil (+6.1%).
▼ ME: 30th Celebration Classic Collection (set): 27 of 27 tracked cards down, median -21.7%; e.g. Uxie (-39.6%) and Zacian V (-36.9%).
▼ ME: 30th Celebration (set): 15 of 17 tracked cards down, median -17.7%; e.g. Pikachu ex - 150/128 (-31.5%) and Maushold - 146/128 (-30.9%).
▼ Mega Hyper Rare (rarity): 7 of 8 tracked cards down, median -4.0%; e.g. Mega Darkrai ex - 120/084 (-7.1%) and Mega Dragonite ex - 295/217 (-6.3%).
▼ Classic Collection (rarity): 47 of 69 tracked cards down, median -3.7%; e.g. Uxie (-39.6%) and Zacian V (-36.9%).
Slowking, probably: I have never moved this fast in my life.
Half This Hobby Still Costs Less Than a Dollar
The Pokémon catalog splits into six price bands: 13,604 cards under 1 dollar, 5,898 between 1 and 5 dollars, 4,244 between 5 and 20 dollars, 2,028 between 20 and 50 dollars, 1,033 between 50 and 100 dollars, and 1,418 at 100 dollars and up. That means just under half the game, the folding table at our estate sale, is worth less than a dollar a card. Still, 1,418 cards clear 100 dollars or more, which is the hobby's way of reminding you that the expensive stuff is still out there somewhere.
Most of this chart lives in the loose-change aisle.
Our Model Would Have Done Better Saying Nothing
Looking a month out, the model is calling 175 Pokémon cards to rise, 383 to fall, and 8,095 to go nowhere, which says plenty about where its confidence sits. Across 1,292,939 checked calls on this game, it has missed by a typical 13.8 percent, worse than the flat-guess baseline's 12.3 percent, with a bias of negative 2.7 percent. Its boldest climb call right now is Dragonite ex, forecast up an implied 20.8 percent, with direction called correctly 66.7 percent of the time. We would have done better saying nothing, and we are printing that too.
| Card | Now | 1M forecast | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dark Tyranitar - 20/109 (EX Team Rocket Returns) | $23.28 | $28.53 | +22.6% |
| Dragonite ex | $233.20 | $281.75 | +20.8% |
| Pokémon Catcher (Gold) | $12.00 | $14.11 | +17.6% |
| Charmander - 113/112 | $29.99 | $35.24 | +17.5% |
| Heat Rotom | $31.66 | $36.50 | +15.3% |
| Checked | Typical miss | Flat baseline | 80% band | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,292,939 | 13.8% | 12.3% | 76% | 67% |
Forecasts are model estimates, not financial advice. The newest set, ME: 30th Celebration, has its own report. How the forecasts have been doing across every game is in the latest model report; the About page explains how they are made.
The whole floor just keeps shuffling the same cards, dollar bin to showcase case and back, and nobody at the table knows why. Volume optional.